As a consulting actuary who has spent considerable time analysing population trends, I’ve observed growing consensus among demographers that we’re heading toward a fundamentally different demographic future than what we’ve experienced over the past century. The data is compelling: global population will likely peak sometime this century before beginning a sustained decline – a phenomenon…
I firmly believe major demographics shifts are going to have massive social, political, economic, financial market and commercial impacts in the coming decades. The balance of savers and borrowers, investors, producers and consumers will change with complex effects. For example: 📊 Having fewer children has a temporary impact to boost productivity as resources aren’t spent…
In what should be a surprise to nobody, US fertility has fallen to a century low. The US has better population growth forecast than many countries, but is still facing long term headwinds. South Korea still is the most glaring example, but China will continue to see truly shocking population ageing and decline. https://edition.cnn.com/2024/04/24/health/us-birth-rate-decline-2023-cdc/index.html Declining…
