I have felt like this before. Check out XKCD for more of this.
Figuring out the future and the now
About David Kirk
Featured Posts
- Value at Risk – not always a monster, but normally it is.
Nassim Taleb is not a fan of Value At Risk (VaR) “You’re worse off relying on misleading information than on not having any information at… Read more: Value at Risk – not always a monster, but normally it is. - One answer could be pet insurance
I firmly believe major demographics shifts are going to have massive social, political, economic, financial market and commercial impacts in the coming decades. The balance… Read more: One answer could be pet insurance - A piece of the failure puzzle – decreasing insurer failure rates through Skilled Person Reviews
Every failure hits policyholders’ savings or cover, impact their lives and their livelihoods. They destroys shareholder value and decrease confidence in the entire financial sector.… Read more: A piece of the failure puzzle – decreasing insurer failure rates through Skilled Person Reviews - How and why insurers fail
I’ve been updating my presentation from 2021 on “How and Why Insurers Fail”. I now estimate the annual failure rate (or at least getting into… Read more: How and why insurers fail - The hidden dangers of opinion shopping and trusting good news.
I had a recent discussion on the value of getting a second opinion. There’s the old line that “if you want five opinions, ask three… Read more: The hidden dangers of opinion shopping and trusting good news. - 40,000
40,000. That’s the ballpark figure I usually work with as the minimum number of micro insurance policies required for scale. The expenses of running even… Read more: 40,000 - IFRS17 may not kill off EV
Will IFRS17 kill off Embedded Value (EV) reporting in Africa? Or will it finally bring Market Consistent Embedded Value (MCEV) to life? I gave a… Read more: IFRS17 may not kill off EV
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