Figuring out the future and the now

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BRIC is not going to be come BRICS

Different size, different growth prospects, different issues and decidedly different league.

South Africa, in its current state with current policies and current trajectory is in no danger of making BRIC become BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa).

This recent article shows some relevant and credible people agree.

Goldman Sachs Asset Management chairperson Jim O’Neill, who coined the term BRIC nine years ago, told last week’s Reuters 2011 Investment Outlook Summit he was constantly getting e-mails suggesting he added or subtracted countries from the acronym.

South Africa, at a population of under 50m people, is just too small to join the Bric ranks, O’Neill says.

“How can South Africa be regarded as a big economy? And, by the way, they happen to be struggling as well.”

[emphasis added]

Of course, I don’t think Nigeria is anywhere close either.


4 responses to “BRIC is not going to be come BRICS”

    1. David Kirk avatar

      Yeah, awkward that. I’m tempted to say “they still shouldn’t be” but that would just me compounding my original mistake. I was considering this from an economic perspective, rather than a political counter-US perspective. South Africa’s voting record in the UN is the real driver here. Our small economy and limited growth don’t seem to be relevant.

  1. James Thorpe avatar
    James Thorpe

    Agreed, BRIC was initially a descriptive term, grouping together countries that met certain criteria… now it has become almost a political alliance where countries join by invitation rather than qualification. ie Politics, rather than economic factors now dominate.

    Certainly in terms of the initial criteria, your point stands.

  2. […] I argued a few months ago, amid speculation that South Africa would be joining Brazil, Russia, India and China to turn the BRIC group into BRICS, that South Africa did not fit the mould of large economies with large populations, growing rapidly. […]

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